Fundraising · 4 min read
Is your company VC-fundable?
Venture capital is one financing instrument with a specific shape. Most good businesses are the wrong shape for it — and that is a fact about the instrument, not about the business.
Founders read a "no" from an investor as a verdict on their company. Usually it is not. It is a statement about whether the company fits a financial structure — and that structure is narrower and stranger than the pitch-advice industry lets on.
The useful move is to work out the answer yourself, before you spend six months finding it out one meeting at a time.
The constraint is the fund, not the founder
A VC firm does not invest its own money. It raises a fund from limited partners — pension funds, endowments, insurers, family offices — who could have put that money in public equities instead. Venture is illiquid for a decade and most of its positions go to zero, so it has to clear a return that compensates for both. That obligation is passed straight through to you.
Work an example. Take a €50M fund with a ten-year life:
- €20M for first cheques. Say 20 companies at roughly €1M each, for about 10% of each.
- €20M for follow-ons. Later rounds dilute the fund's stake, so it re-invests to defend ownership in the companies that are working.
- €10M for fees. The standard "2 and 20": ~2% a year to run the firm, and 20% of profits above the returned capital.
Now the outcomes. Of those 20 companies, expect roughly half to fail outright and most of the rest to return something unremarkable. Realistically two positions carry the fund.
So ask what those two have to do. To return €150M — 3× the fund, a respectable but not spectacular decade — on stakes of around 10%, they need to be worth roughly €1.5B between them at exit. Not revenue. Not valuation on paper. Realised, at a liquidity event.
That is the whole of it. A VC cannot fund a company that is unlikely to reach that scale, however good the company is, because a fund made of such companies does not clear the bar its LPs were promised. The power law is not a preference investors hold. It is the arithmetic they are held to.
What that arithmetic asks of you
Once the scale constraint is real to you, the standard investor questions stop sounding arbitrary.
Market. The question is never "is this a real problem?" It is "if you win, how big is the thing you have won?" A €1.5B outcome requires a market that can support it, and investors would rather back a plausible team in an enormous market than an excellent one in a small market — the second is capped no matter who runs it. Be careful with top-down market sizing here: the market that matters is the slice you could realistically hold, not the industry total in the analyst's report.
Product. Growth has to get cheaper as you get bigger, or the model breaks at the top. That is what investors are testing when they ask about retention, margin structure, or whether the thing gets better as more people use it. A business that needs proportionally more people or spend for every additional unit of revenue does not compound into a fund-returner.
People. Early on there is little else to underwrite. The signals are unglamorous: whether you have earned some specific right to attack this problem, whether the team has survived disagreement, and whether your account of your own numbers matches what the numbers say. Founders often over-prepare the vision and under-prepare this.
When the answer is no
Being unfundable by VCs is not a diagnosis. It usually means the company is one of these:
- Profitable at a moderate scale — the outcome VC cannot use is often exactly the outcome a founder wants.
- Steady rather than explosive — services, agencies, most consultancies. Real businesses, wrong curve.
- Capital-light — if you do not need €10M, taking it costs you control you did not have to sell.
- Long-horizon deep tech — sometimes fundable, but often on grant and strategic money first, because the timeline outruns a ten-year fund.
The routes that fit those are not consolation prizes; they are different instruments with different obligations. Revenue-based finance and venture debt do not take equity and do not need an exit. Grants and public programmes are non-dilutive and reward exactly the long-horizon work VC times out of. Crowdfunding raises from the people who want the product. Customers are the cheapest capital there is, and the only kind that also validates the thing you are selling.
The test
Before the next meeting, answer this in one line: what has to be true for this company to be worth more than a billion at exit, and do I believe it?
If you believe it, that sentence is your pitch, and everything else in the deck is evidence for it. If you do not, you have saved yourself half a year — and the instrument you actually need is somewhere in the list above.
Written here in our own words. The framing owes a debt to Slush — "Is Your Company VC Fundable?".